20 DIMJ(9),N(9),I(9),E(9),X(9,40),P(9,40) 40 FORK=1TO9 50 LETN(K)=1 60 LETJ(K)=1 70 LETE(K)=0 80 NEXTK 90 GOTO2380 100 READM 110 IFM>9THEN2340 120 FORQ=1TOM 130 READN(Q) 140 NEXTQ 150 LETB=1 160 FORQ=1TO9 170 LETB=B*N(Q) 180 NEXTQ 190 FOR Q=1TO40 200 FORK=1TO9 210 LETP(K,Q)=1 220 NEXTK 230 NEXTQ 240 LETS1=0 250 LETS2=0 260 LETS3=0 270 LETP1=0 280 DATA 1,1 290 DATA 2,1 300 DATA 3,1 310 DATA 4,1 320 DATA 5,1 330 DATA 6,1 340 DATA 7,1 350 DATA 8,1 360 DATA 9,1 370 FORK=1TO9 380 FORQ=1TON(K) 390 READX(K,Q),P(K,Q) 400 LETE(K)=E(K)+P(K,Q) 410 NEXTQ 420 NEXTK 430 FORK=1TO9 440 FORQ=1TON(K) 450 NEXTQ 460 NEXTK 470 LETJ9=J(9) 480 FORJ9=1TON(9) 490 LETJ8=J(8) 500 FORJ8=1TON(8) 510 LETJ7=J(7) 520 FORJ7=1TON(7) 530 LETJ6=J(6) 540 FORJ6=1TON(6) 550 LETJ5=J(5) 560 FORJ5=1TON(5) 570 LETJ4=J(4) 580 FORJ4=1TON(4) 590 LETJ3=J(3) 600 FORJ3=1TON(3) 610 LETJ2=J(2) 620 FORJ2=1TON(2) 630 LETJ1=J(1) 640 FORJ1=1TON(1) 650 LETV1=X(1,J1) 660 LETV2=X(2,J2) 670 LETV3=X(3,J3) 680 LETV4=X(4,J4) 690 LETV5=X(5,J5) 700 LETV6=X(6,J6) 710 LETV7=X(7,J7) 720 LETV8=X(8,J8) 730 LETV9=X(9,J9) 740 LETU=0 750 LETZ=1 760 LETZ=Z*P(1,J1) 770 LETZ=Z*P(2,J2) 780 LETZ=Z*P(3,J3) 790 LETZ=Z*P(4,J4) 800 LETZ=Z*P(5,J5) 810 LETZ=Z*P(6,J6) 820 LETZ=Z*P(7,J7) 830 LETZ=Z*P(8,J8) 840 LETZ=Z*P(9,J9) 850 LETR1=Z*U 860 LETR2=R1*U 870 LETR3=R2*U 880 LETS1=S1+R1 890 LET S2=S2+R2 900 LETS3=S3+R3 910 LETP1=P1+Z 920 NEXTJ1 930 NEXTJ2 940 NEXTJ3 950 NEXTJ4 960 NEXTJ5 970 NEXTJ6 980 NEXTJ7 990 NEXTJ8 1000 NEXTJ9 1010 IFABS(P1-1)>0.00001THEN2360 1020 LETR1=S1 1030 LET R2=S2-S1^2 1040 LETR3=S3-3*S2*S1+2*S1^3 1050 PRINT 1060 PRINT" P R O B A B I L I T Y T R E E " 1070 PRINT 1080 PRINT" VARIABLES:",M 1090 PRINT" BRANCHES:",B 1100 PRINT 1110 PRINT" EXPECTED VALUE = ",R1 1120 PRINT" STD DEVIATION = ",SQR(R2) 1130 PRINT" STD SKEWNESS = ",R3/((SQR(R2))^3) 1140 PRINT 1150 PRINT 1160 PRINT"PROBABILITY TABLE:" 1170 FORG=1TO9 1180 LETI(G)=1 1190 NEXTG 1200 PRINT 1210 LETI1=I(1) 1220 LETI2=I(2) 1230 LETI3=I(3) 1240 LETI4=I(4) 1250 LETI5=I(5) 1260 LETI6=I(6) 1270 LETI7=I(7) 1280 LETI8=I(8) 1290 LETI9=I(9) 1300 FORI1=1TON(1) 1310 IFM<>1THEN1340 1320 GOSUB2150 1330 NEXTI1 1340 FORI2=1TON(2) 1350 IFM<>2THEN1380 1360 GOSUB2150 1370 NEXTI2 1380 FORI3=1TON(3) 1390 IFM<>3THEN1420 1400 GOSUB2150 1410 NEXTI3 1420 FORI4=1TON(4) 1430 IFM<>4THEN1460 1440 GOSUB2150 1450 NEXTI4 1460 FORI5=1TON(5) 1470 IFM<>5THEN1500 1480 GOSUB2150 1490 NEXTI5 1500 FORI6=1TON(6) 1510 IFM<>6THEN1540 1520 GOSUB2150 1530 NEXTI6 1540 FORI7=1TON(7) 1550 IFM<>7THEN1580 1560 GOSUB2150 1570 NEXTI7 1580 FORI8=1TON(8) 1590 IFM<>8THEN1620 1600 GOSUB2150 1610 NEXTI8 1620 FORI9=1TON(9) 1625 IFM<>9THEN 1650 1630 GOSUB2150 1640 NEXTI9 1650 IFM=9THEN1740 1660 IFM=8THEN1780 1670 IFM=7THEN1820 1680 IFM=6THEN1860 1690 IFM=5THEN1900 1700 IFM=4THEN1940 1710 IFM=3THEN1980 1720 IFM=2THEN2020 1730 IFM=1THEN2050 1740 LETI8=I8+1 1750 IFI8>N(8)THEN1770 1760 GOTO2060 1770 LETI8=1 1780 LETI7=I7+1 1790 IFI7>N(7)THEN1810 1800 GOTO2060 1810 LETI7=1 1820 LETI6=I6+1 1830 IFI6>N(6)THEN1850 1840 GOTO2060 1850 LETI6=1 1860 LETI5=I5+1 1870 IFI5>N(5)THEN1890 1880 GOTO2060 1890 LETI5=1 1900 LETI4=I4+1 1910 IFI4>N(4)THEN1930 1920 GOTO2060 1930 LETI4=1 1940 LETI3=I3+1 1950 IFI3>N(3)THEN1970 1960 GOTO2060 1970 LETI3=1 1980 LETI2=I2+1 1990 IFI2>N(2)THEN2010 2000 GOTO2060 2010 LETI2=1 2020 LETI1=I1+1 2030 IFI1>N(1)THEN2730 2040 GOTO2060 2050 GOTO2730 2060 IFM=1THEN1300 2070 IFM=2THEN1340 2080 IFM=3THEN1380 2090 IFM=4THEN1420 2100 IFM=5THEN1460 2110 IFM=6THEN1500 2120 IFM=7THEN1540 2130 IFM=8THEN1580 2140 IFM=9THEN1620 2150 PRINT 2160 LETP2=1 2170 LETI(1)=I1 2180 LETI(2)=I2 2190 LETI(3)=I3 2200 LETI(4)=I4 2210 LETI(5)=I5 2220 LETI(6)=I6 2230 LETI(7)=I7 2240 LETI(8)=I8 2250 LETI(9)=I9 2260 FORK=1TOM 2270 PRINTX(K,I(K)), 2280 LETP2=P2*P(K,I(K)) 2290 NEXTK 2300 PRINT P2 2310 LETB=B-1 2320 IFB=0THEN2730 2330 RETURN 2340 PRINT"PROGRAM HANDLES ONLY 1 TO 9 VARIABLES" 2350 GOTO2730 2360 PRINT"PROBABILITIES DO NOT SUM TO 1 FOR VARIABLE NO.",K 2370 GOTO2730 2380 PRINT 2390 PRINT "THIS PROGRAM COMPUTES THE MEAN, STANDARD DEVIATION," 2400 PRINT "AND SKEWNESS FOR THE DISTRIBUTION OF ANY FUNCTION OF" 2410 PRINT "UP TO NINE DISCRETE VARIABLES. EACH VARIABLE MAY" 2420 PRINT "HAVE UP TO 40 VALUES, WITH A FREQUENCY ASSIGNED" 2430 PRINT "TO EACH. THE END-POINTS OF THE TREE WILL BE COMPUTED" 2440 PRINT "AND ASSIGNED COMPOUND PROBABILITIES ACCORDINGLY." 2450 PRINT " THE DATA FOR A RUN IS ENTERED AS FOLLOWS:" 2460 PRINT 2470 PRINT " 90 DATA M, N1, N2,....., N9" 2480 PRINT " (WHERE M = NO. OF VARIABLES AND" 2490 PRINT " VARIABLE 1 HAS N1 VALUES, ETC.)" 2500 PRINT " 280 DATA V1(1),W1(1),V1(2),W1(2),....,V1(N1),W1(N1)" 2510 PRINT " (WHERE V1(1) IS THE FIRST VALUE OF THE" 2520 PRINT " FIRST VARIABLE, AND W1(1) IS THE WEIGHT" 2530 PRINT " OR FREQUENCY ASSIGNED TO THAT VALUE, AND" 2540 PRINT" SO ON FOR THE OTHER VALUES OF VARIABLE 1.)" 2550 PRINT " 290 DATA (SAME FOR VARIABLE 2)" 2560 PRINT " 300 DATA (SAME FOR VARIABLE 3)" 2570 PRINT " (AND SO ON FOR THE M VARIABLES. ADDITIONAL" 2580 PRINT " VALUES AND WEIGHTS FOR A VARIABLE MAY BE" 2590 PRINT " ENTERED ON INTERMEDIATELY NUMBERED LINES.)" 2600 PRINT " 740 LET U = A FUNCTION OF V1,V2,V3,....,V9" 2610 PRINT 2620 PRINT "THEN TYPE 'RUN'." 2630 PRINT 2640 PRINT 2650 PRINT "THE PROBABILITY TABLE IS IN THE FORM:" 2660 PRINT 2670 PRINT " E1 E2 E3 ... EN P" 2680 PRINT" ETC." 2690 PRINT 2700 PRINT "WHERE P = PROBABILITY(V1=E1 AND V2=E2 AND ... AND VN=EN)" 2710 PRINT 2720 DATA 0,0,0 2730 END